Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 4.213883 4.860378 5.570673 6.408687 7.370150 8.438582 9.715901
2024-12-29 3.470978 4.353503 5.404085 6.745867 8.413333 10.416928 13.007423
2025-01-05 2.896372 3.909283 5.202560 6.972535 9.330250 12.361685 16.555804
2025-01-12 2.393128 3.450439 4.888056 6.981397 9.948450 14.000780 19.955932
2025-01-19 1.903725 2.915622 4.372831 6.618072 9.985261 14.843038 22.382784
2025-01-26 1.691704 2.736375 4.320909 6.890042 10.943847 17.087149 27.101177
2025-02-02 1.564346 2.660381 4.403737 7.365332 12.260308 20.018447 33.241616
2025-02-09 1.396917 2.489855 4.307347 7.532470 13.098819 22.297146 38.639255
2025-02-16 1.244017 2.317281 4.178073 7.617681 13.799457 24.420773 44.035607
2025-02-23 1.073376 2.085236 3.910623 7.418410 13.969714 25.649560 48.024341
2025-03-02 0.911237 1.842725 3.587967 7.068162 13.809942 26.258601 50.950059
2025-03-09 0.829722 1.741967 3.512617 7.167394 14.492432 28.466479 57.093234
2025-03-16 0.724362 1.581032 3.305774 6.995145 14.654109 29.765226 61.769319
2025-03-23 0.689657 1.561394 3.377927 7.396198 16.017782 33.573173 71.931517
2025-03-30 0.645357 1.514199 3.386446 7.665435 17.145711 37.049846 81.875759
2025-04-06 0.585531 1.422866 3.287583 7.688028 17.748503 39.512890 89.998684
2025-04-13 0.502913 1.265568 3.020539 7.296025 17.380639 39.855179 93.538584
2025-04-20 0.477736 1.241712 3.053749 7.600000 18.636297 43.914087 105.943967
2025-04-27 0.467853 1.254122 3.173635 8.126338 20.483032 49.530805 122.661357
2025-05-04 0.438470 1.212059 3.155671 8.312296 21.532646 53.423584 135.778652
2025-05-11 0.407081 1.159713 3.104620 8.407314 22.368492 56.906137 148.334828
2025-05-18 0.363980 1.068633 2.941447 8.188457 22.374152 58.359288 155.999582
2025-05-25 0.318737 0.964098 2.727605 7.802923 21.887899 58.512134 160.330165